Linyi mall index operation in the third quarter, according to the linyi mall monitoring index system, in the third quarter, linyi mall price index closed at 98.78 points, from rose 1.06 points, or 1.08%, rose 5.65 points, or 6.07%. The linyi mall's overall index closed at 1109.52, down 32.77 points, or 2.87 percent, down 1.99 points, or 0.18 percent. The linyi mall recycling economy index closed down 0.56 points, or 0.56 percent, down 0.56 points, or 0.12 percent, down 0.56 points from the previous month.
In the third quarter, the price index of linyi mall continued to rise, slightly higher than the previous year. From the price index of the 14 commodities, the year-on-year growth rate was 8. 6. Among them, the top three increases were: steel, stationery, office supplies, building decoration materials, up 33.02, 7.09 and 6.00 respectively. The three before the fall were: grain and food, agricultural resources, lamps and lanterns, falling 6.09, 4.22 and 0.97 respectively.
The development sentiment index of linyi mall has declined, which is basically flat. From the perspective of development sentiment index, the index of development benefit and development confidence rose slightly in addition to the year-on-year decrease in the development scale index. The survey showed that the number of merchants who believed that the number of goods in the third quarter rose by 5.1% year-on-year. The number of merchants who believed that the third quarter was easy for bank financing was up 0.9 per cent year on year. In the third quarter, the merchants who manufactured goods in the third quarter were up 0.7% compared with the same period last year.
In the third quarter, the business cycle index of linyi mall was basically flat. According to the survey, the number of merchants who believed that the interest rate of private financing fell in the third quarter was down 1.4% year on year. In the third quarter, businesses that account for the decline in accounts payable are up 0.4% year on year. The number of merchants who believed that the number of goods sold or orders rose in the third quarter was down by 1.6% year on year. In the third quarter, the number of merchants with better overall operating conditions was down 2.0% year on year.
Analysis of key market quotation:
Quotation: steel to good hardware, ceramics decline
According to linyi mall monitoring index system, in the third quarter, the products in our city share is higher, the industrial agglomeration larger plate, metal, ceramic, steel products, stationery and office supplies five categories of goods, steel products, stationery and office supplies market positive, sheet metal, metal, ceramic market decline.
The development of stationery office supplies has risen steadily
In the third quarter, the development and economic sentiment index of the office of cultural and education was closed at 1196.91, up 80.11 points, or 7.17%. It fell 43.37 points, or 3.50 percent, from the previous month.
From the perspective of the pan, the index of cultural office supplies and sports entertainment in the secondary index were up 64.61 points and 101.54, respectively, which led to a rise in the development of the stationery and education office supplies category.
In the third quarter, the market for stationery and stationery products rose steadily from the same period last year, with both trading volume and turnover increasing. This year, according to the personage inside course of study to cultural and educational office supplies class market rise was mainly affected by two factors: on the one hand, the sporting goods market move after restructuring scale, market stability after the court surge in trading volume, trading, cultural and educational office supplies class index rose; , on the other hand, culture and education office supplies such as consumable goods, keep better progressly market demand, especially for stationery and office automation equipment to improve product quality, prices rise, to a certain extent pull sentiment upward.
China's ceramic development index was lower than last year
In the third quarter, the ceramic development sentiment index closed at 1171.65, down 2.33 points, or 0.20%. It rose 30.39 points, or 2.66 percent, on a month-on-month basis.
From the surface of the disk, the secondary classification was mixed year-on-year, with the construction ceramics falling 49.49 points. Daily pottery and porcelain products were up 120.18 points and 30.14 points respectively. From the trend of the curve, although the trend of the trend overall this year, the overall market is slightly worse than the same period last year.
To this year, the ceramic industry there are signs of recovery, but the market development still faces multiple constraints: rising costs, the coal, the respect such as chemical raw material and logistics cost price pressure influence, especially in the coal, the carton price to ceramic enterprise biggest influence; The environmental protection regulation continues high pressure, most of the ceramic enterprises can not be full capacity to start, the enterprise development faces the big dilemma.
Although more problems, linyi ceramic overall positive development trend, industry capacity, big reshuffle of structure adjustment of linyi ceramics industry is both opportunity and challenge, enterprise development must rely on the size and price promotion mode, turned to quality brand, fair competition, increase market competitiveness.
Steel prices have risen, and the later market is good
In the third quarter, the steel development sentiment index closed at 12,79.48, up 71.92 points, or 5.96%. It was up 102.05 points, or 8.67 percent.
From the surface of the disk, the secondary index is dominated by inflation, with the increase of steel and tube materials in the buildings, which are up 205.57 points and 162.64 points respectively, leading the upward movement of the index. The profile category rose slightly, up 24.71 points year on year.
In the first three quarters of this year, the steel industry developed a turbulent economic curve, and the overall trend was higher than that of last year. This year, steel prices shock upstream, on the one hand, the domestic economy continues to grow, construction, manufacturing consumption growth, downstream procurement rising obviously, the upstream steel mills production profit increase at the same time, steel mills production increase, the steel market supply and demand two prosperous; On the other hand, the price of steel has been significantly increased compared with the same period last year, which led to a rise in sales volume.
The panel business sentiment index fell year-on-year
In the third quarter, the board development sentiment index closed at 800.89, down 13.55 points, or 1.66 percent. It rose 3.06 points, or 0.38 percent, on a month-on-month basis.
From the disk, the secondary index fell much less, the material plate in implementing board, laminated board, particle board, gypsum board, wood board, aluminum-plastic plate were down 192.89 points, 163.33 points, 143.08 points, 53.15 points, 51.29 points, 26.56 points, main factors into pulling plate class total index fell.
This year, the overall performance of our board industry is worse than last year, and the first quarter was the lowest in nearly two years. Face greater pressure to survive, to zhuhai park construction as the lead, actively introduce Internet + whole house custom business model and concept, focus on environmental protection with glue, heating, such key links as leading enterprises cultivation, branding, speed up the plank industry testing center, construction of the project such as research and development center, pushing plate to wooden floor, furniture and other high-end products, to promote the old and new kinetic energy transformation, promote transformation and upgrading of enterprises, and further heighten the linyi board brand. Linyi plate after transition, the future will further integrate the advantage resources, lacking the brand construction, innovation, research and development design, international trade, etc, will still occupy the important position of plate at home and abroad market.
The hardware boom index has fallen sharply
In the third quarter, the development sentiment index of hardware and electric materials was closed at 10,94.24, a year-on-year decline of 28.78 points, or 2.56%. It was down 21.78 points, or 1.95 percent.
Look from the disk, the secondary index fell broadly, hardware tools, metal parts, welding materials, electrical tools, wire and cable, instruments and meters, security equipment and supplies were down 14.68, 60.54, 116.34, 14.68, 39.25, 133.76, 495.19.
To this year, climate index falling hardware development, the market showed "slack season and off-season back to" the characteristics of the development environment and the domestic hardware industry overall weak has important relationship. To this year, as raw material in the production process, mechanical equipment, such as Labour, ground rent, electricity, transport costs continue to increase, while the hardware prices rose slightly, but it is still difficult for rising cost impact, production enterprises operating profits have been compressed. At the same time, the domestic environmental protection remediation has a great impact on the hardware industry, and the sales volume and sales volume of the hardware industry have been greatly declined. As the environmental protection management of the enterprise gradually reached the standard, the hardware industry in our city still has strong development momentum, market expectations still have room to rise.
The market forecasts
At the end of the year, the shopping season to the fourth quarter will meet the trend of the market
Although in the first three quarters of this year, the linyi mall development climate index downward trend, especially in the third quarter is heavy falls in the first two quarters, this is mainly affected by hardware dianliao, plates, ceramic and other falling weight categories. But as the enterprise rectification, market supply and demand gradually return to normal, most merchants are still bullish on the future.
Experts predict that as the new products of autumn and winter will be completed, the stock market will be started, and the commodity turnover, capital turnover and other indicators will be significantly accelerated. At the same time "golden nine silver ten" traditional trading market by the end of season and show more stimulating, combined with New Year's day, Spring Festival will come shopping season, linyi mall market is expected to usher in warming trend, support climate index significantly higher. In the fourth quarter, the growth index and cyclical index are expected to recover. In terms of the monthly price index, from the previous trend, it is expected that the price index will remain modestly higher at the end of the year, and the index will hover around 99 points.
